He then repairs to a corner of the casino bar to study the numbers. I'd make a crack about the distraction factor, but I'm typing this in my living room with one cat passed out on my shins and the other one -- the 22-pounder -- attempting to wedge himself into my armpit. And my upstairs neighbors are playing John Mayer's "Daughters" song on repeat loop again. So I'm thinking Warrick and I are both testaments to awesome single-minded concentration. In fact, I'd even argue that he's more able to concentrate since he's not running the risk of puncture wounds every time he crosses his ankles.
I'm sorry, I appear to have gotten distracted there. Casino, cats, awesome powers of concentration...ahhh, here's my point. Catherine and her cleavage come over to confirm that they haven't run across Lou Barnes before, and then she finds out that Warrick's engrossed in examining the game the guy got rich on. He comments, "These are the craziest line moves I ever saw." Catherine speaks for some of us when she snorts, "Line moves. The only thing the sports book means to me is guys without showers." Warrick laughs, "That's actually true." And then the show remembers the millions of us who aren't fluent in wagering, and stages this conversation:
Warrick: Let me see if I can break it down: Monday morning, the week of the Duke/Louisville game, VSL sets the line at Duke minus 15.
Catherine: So if I were to place a bet on Duke, they would have to win by more than fifteen for me to win the bet.
Warrick: Right. Now, according to the manager of the book, the moment that number went up, cash came rolling in on Duke. Professional bettors were all over the number. Dispatching runners in every book in town. Now, remember, money moves the line, so by mid-week, the tourists and the local suckers caught wind of what the pros were betting, [therefore] pumping the line to Duke minus 25.
Catherine: Yeah, everybody's throwing money on Duke. Big favorite.
Warrick: Now here's where it gets weird. By Friday, all sorts of cash starts rolling in, but this time on the underdog -- Louisville plus 25.
Catherine: Which means Louisville could lose by 24 [points] and still win the bet. So why would you bet on the underdog if you had already put money on the favorite?
Warrick: Our vic had Lou Barnes lay 17 points with Duke, and take 23 with Louisville. The game landed 22. How do you think he did it?